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RealClearDefense

It's Time to Bring the Pentagon Budget into the Twenty-First Century

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Caption
Sailors spin up an F-35C Lightning II for maintenance operations in the Pacific Ocean, on June 14, 2024.

As the world crisis grows, with America involved in wars in Ukraine and in the Middle East and possibly facing a major conflict over Taiwan, calls for increasing our defense spending have reached a crescendo. The new National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) from Congress increases the Pentagon budget to $880 billion鈥攁n all-time high in terms of dollars spent. A prominent senator has even urged raising that amount annually to 5% of GDP鈥攚hich is still barely half of the percentage spent during the Cold War.

However, just as important鈥攐r even more important鈥攖han what the Pentagon spends, is how it spends it. A Congressionally appointed blue ribbon commission has set on the policy table a list of recommended reforms to bring the Pentagon鈥檚 budget system into the 21st century. The battle now begins to implement those changes, changes that could not only mean using defense dollars more wisely and effectively; they could make the difference between victory or defeat in any future war.

The existing Pentagon Planning, Programming, Budgeting, and Execution (PPBE) process governing defense spending dates back to the 1960s. Despite occasional fixes and changes, it鈥檚 no longer up to the challenge of meeting today鈥檚 rapid technological changes, or the complex challenges posed by China鈥檚 and Russia鈥檚 militaries, from drones and hypersonics to naval forces and space.

To address this issue, Congress set up its 14-person PPBE Reform Commission in February 2022. After 24 months and more than 140 hours of deliberations, after hearing from more than 1,100 expert witnesses ranging from industry to senior defense officials, the commission released its final report in March (full disclosure: I was involved in drafting and editing that report).

Among the commission鈥檚 28 detailed recommendations, four stand out.

The first is replacing the existing PPBE Process with a new Defense Resourcing System (DRS), consisting of the four discreet stages of the old system with three interlocking stages. The first stage will be focused on meeting strategic goals; the second on allocating resources, including dollars, to meet those goals; the third on carrying through on execution. The goal is to ensure that Pentagon spending aligns with current overall strategic goals, e.g., confronting China鈥檚 growing naval threat, and to gain more efficient performance at all levels of the allocation process.

The second recommendation is finding ways to strengthen the Pentagon鈥檚 analytic processes and measurement metrics, for a more accurate system of adjusting resource allocation, i.e., how much money is needed as well as how it鈥檚 spent, to fit with overall strategy.

The third is transforming the budget鈥檚 overall structure, by creating a seamless top-down flow from Service/Component and Major Capability Activity Area, e.g., UAV鈥檚 or submarines or Space Systems, to individual systems and programs throughout their life cycle. This will help to make sure budgets stay on track with important strategic as well as technological changes, while also giving a clearer picture to Congress and the public of how DoD money is spent, and why.

The fourth involves consolidating the different budget activities (BA鈥檚) that fall under the heading of Research, Development, Test and Evaluation (RDT&E). Today the division of these activities into separate discreet boxes hampers DoD鈥檚 ability to keep pace with the speed of innovation. It also denies the reality that technology develops very differently and much faster from the way budget managers like to imagine鈥攅specially software, which is crucial to the success or failure of today鈥檚 weapons systems from the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter to Tomahawk missiles and nuclear submarines.

Anyone who knows Washington knows great reforms don鈥檛 sell themselves. An implementation plan is needed, as the Commission noted in its final report.

Fortunately, Congress has now taken up the challenge in the new NDAA. Both House and Senate versions are calling for establishing 鈥渁 cross-functional team to implement the recommendations of the Commission on Planning, Programming, Budgeting, and Execution (PPBE) Reform.鈥� In addition, Senate and House language requires 鈥渁nnual reports on the implementation of the recommendations of the PPBE Commission.鈥�

How important are these changes in today鈥檚 defense environment? At a time when China can obtain new weapons systems five to six times faster than the Pentagon; and complete the development to fielding cycle 2.5 times faster; getting a planning, programming, and budgeting system that can keep up with technological as well as strategic changes, isn鈥檛 just a good idea. It鈥檚 imperative.

Likewise, when an experienced Pentagon program manager handling a multi-billion dollar submarine program can鈥檛 make a $10 million change without permission; and small companies with great ideas and breakthrough technologies can鈥檛 afford to wait two or more years before becoming a full-fledged defense program鈥攖he waiting period known in the defense business the 鈥渧alley of death鈥濃攖hen it鈥檚 time for a new way to allocate money and resources for our nation鈥檚 defense.

A bureaucratic process that鈥檚 been built up over decades and handles an $880 billion budget isn鈥檛 going to change overnight. But thanks to the challenges posed by China, Russia, and Iran in today鈥檚 complex security environment, the need for change-even radical change couldn鈥檛 be more glaring.

Fortunately, Congress in its NDAA for fiscal year 2025 fully recognizes that need. It鈥檚 time for the Biden administration to recognize it as well and endorse implementing the Commission鈥檚 reforms鈥攂efore we have to characterize Pentagon budget reform with what James Thurber said were the saddest words in the English language: 鈥渢oo late.鈥�