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Commentary
Wall Street Journal

The Deeper Crisis Behind the Afghan Rout

walter_russell_mead
walter_russell_mead
Ravenel B. Curry III Distinguished Fellow in Strategy and Statesmanship
U.S. President Joe Biden gestures as delivers remarks on the U.S. military鈥檚 ongoing evacuation efforts in Afghanistan from the East Room of the White House on August 20, 2021 in Washington, DC (Photo by Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)
Caption
U.S. President Joe Biden gestures as delivers remarks on the U.S. military鈥檚 ongoing evacuation efforts in Afghanistan from the East Room of the White House on August 20, 2021 in Washington, DC (Photo by Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)

The good news for the Biden administration is that the latest NBC News poll reports 25% approval of President Biden鈥檚 handling of the situation in Afghanistan. Foreign support is even harder to find. North Atlantic Treaty Organization allies are horrified, and Greece completed a border wall to keep out the expected flood of refugees. Arab countries are worried, India and Israel depressed. China and Russia are scornful.

This isn鈥檛 a conventional credibility crisis of the kind President Obama faced when he backed down from his Syrian red line. America has demonstrated its commitment to Afghanistan for 20 years and had no treaty obligation to defend the former Afghan government. A competently executed withdrawal could have enhanced American credibility among some Pacific allies, especially if it was accompanied by clear steps to build up U.S. forces in East Asia.

The Afghan debacle doesn鈥檛 create a crisis of belief in American military credibility. Informed global observers don鈥檛 doubt our willingness to strike back if attacked. The debacle feeds something much more serious and harder to fix: the belief that the U.S. cannot develop鈥攁nd stick to鈥攑olicies that work.

Neither allies nor adversaries expected perfection in Afghanistan. Mr. Biden was right to say that the end of a war is inevitably going to involve a certain amount of chaos, and world leaders likely didn鈥檛 anticipate a seamless transition. They did, however, expect that after two decades of intimate cooperation with Afghan political and military forces, the U.S. wouldn鈥檛 be blindsided by a national collapse. They didn鈥檛 think Washington would stumble into a massive and messy evacuation crisis without a shadow of a plan. They didn鈥檛 expect the Biden team to have to beg the Taliban to help get Americans out.

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